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15. Investment property

The investment property can be specified as follows:

 

2024

2023

Investment property as at 1 January

8,674

9,448

Capital expenditure on property

97

80

Transfer from property under construction

380

57

Property sales

(179)

(39)

Right of use assets (land leases)

(22)

(19)

Revaluation

858

(853)

Investment property as at 31 December

9,808

8,674

The fair value of completed investment property has been determined on a market value basis, in accordance with International Valuation Standards (IVS), as set out by the International Valuation Standards Council (IVSC).

The valuation is prepared on an aggregated ungeared basis. As set out in Note 3, in arriving at their estimates of market values, the valuation experts have used their market knowledge and professional judgement rather than relying exclusively on comparable historical transaction data.

The valuations were performed by accredited external independent real estate valuation experts with a recognised and relevant professional qualification and with recent experience in the location and category of the investment property being appraised.

The fair value of the assets is driven by the net cash flows generated by the assets, which are taken into account by the market, in combination with the discount rate development. The generated cash flow is the net rental income plus the net sales proceeds from the sale of individual units.

The following main inputs have been used in the valuation of the investment property:

 

2024

2023

Average

Sell

 

Hold

Sell

 

Hold

Discount rate (%)

6.8

 

5.3

6.3

 

5.6

Exit yield (%)

5.4

 

4.6

5.3

 

5.1

Rental growth (%)

2.6

 

2.5

2.6

 

2.6

Vacant value growth (%)

2.5

 

2.6

2.1

 

2.4

       

Sell

2024

2023

Region

primary

secondary

other

primary

secondary

other

Discount rate (%)

6.8

7.1

7.5

6.2

6.5

7.0

Exit yield (%)

5.4

5.9

5.9

5.3

5.7

5.9

Rental growth (%)

2.6

2.5

2.4

2.6

2.5

2.4

Vacant value growth (%)

2.5

2.3

2.2

2.2

2.0

1.9

       

Hold

2024

2023

Region

primary

secondary

other

primary

secondary

other

Discount rate (%)

5.2

7.1

-

5.5

6.5

6.4

Exit yield (%)

4.6

5.9

-

5.1

6.2

6.3

Rental growth (%)

2.6

2.5

-

2.7

2.4

2.6

Vacant value growth (%)

2.5

2.3

-

2.5

1.8

1.8

       

Sell

2024

2023

Rental segment

<880

880 - 1500

> 1500

<808

808 - 1200

> 1200

Discount rate (%)

6.6

6.9

6.6

6.0

6.4

6.2

Exit yield (%)

5.9

5.4

5.3

5.5

5.5

5.2

Rental growth (%)

2.5

2.6

2.6

2.4

2.5

2.7

Vacant value growth (%)

2.3

2.5

2.6

1.6

2.1

2.2

       

Hold

2024

2023

Rental segment

<880

880 - 1500

> 1500

<808

808 - 1200

> 1200

Discount rate (%)

-

5.3

5.0

6.4

5.7

5.4

Exit yield (%)

-

4.7

4.2

6.3

5.2

5.0

Rental growth (%)

-

2.6

2.6

2.7

2.6

2.7

Vacant value growth (%)

-

2.5

2.6

1.9

2.4

2.5

During 2024 the market values increased with 10.5% driven by higher vacant possession values, higher index rates and lower initial and exit yields.

External independent real estate valuation experts determine the fair values using discounted cash flow models with a 10-year period. When calculating the present values, the valuation experts use discount rates in the DCF models to account for the time value of money and reflect the inherent risk with regard to the cash flows in the model. Exit yields are indicators used to determine the exit values that can be achieved at the end of the DCF lifetime. Rental growth is the average rental growth in the 10-year period of the discounted cash flow model. Vacant value growth is the average vacant value growth in the 10-year period that is assumed in the cash flow model.

Sensitivity analysis

The table below presents the sensitivity of the valuation to changes in the significant parameters driving the underlying valuation of investment property. The analysis was carried on the investment property value excluding the value of the right-of-use asset (land leases).

 

-100 bps

Fair value 

+100 bps

As at 31 December 2023

   

Discount rate

9,006

8,547

8,076

Exit yield

9,028

8,547

8,185

Rental growth

8,305

8,547

8,792

Vacant value growth

8,347

8,547

8,748

    

As at 31 December 2024

   

Discount rate

10,162

9,703

9,237

Exit yield

10,077

9,703

9,432

Rental growth

9,518

9,703

9,895

Vacant value growth

9,445

9,703

9,961

Right of use assets

Under the investment property the right of use of land leases are included as an integral part of the investment property value.

To reconcile the by external independent real estate valuation experts appraised investment property, the value of the investment property value presented should be adjusted by the land lease right of use.

 

2024

2023

Investment property value

9,808

8,674

less Right of use

(105)

(127)

Valuation as per valuation report

9,703

8,547